moderne wandbilder struktur

the substance of things unseen. cities, past and future. in oxford, perhapswe can use lewis carroll and look in the looking glassthat is new york city to try and see our true selves, or perhaps pass through to another world. or, in the words of f. scott fitzgerald, "as the moon rose higher, the inessential houses began to melt away

until gradually i becameaware of the old island here that once floweredfor dutch sailors' eyes, a fresh green breast of the new world." my colleagues and ihave been working for 10 years to rediscover this lost world in a project we callthe mannahatta project. we're trying to discoverwhat henry hudson would have seen on the afternoon of september 12th, 1609, when he sailed into new york harbor.

and i'd like to tell youthe story in three acts, and if i have time still, an epilogue. so, act i: a map found. so, i didn't grow up in new york. i grew up out west in thesierra nevada mountains, like you see here, in the red rock canyon. and from these earlyexperiences as a child i learned to love landscapes. and so when it became timefor me to do my graduate studies,

i studied this emerging fieldof landscape ecology. landscape ecology concerns itself with how the stream and the meadowand the forest and the cliffs make habitats for plants and animals. this experience and this training lead me to get a wonderful jobwith the wildlife conservation society, which works to save wildlifeand wild places all over the world. and over the last decade, i traveled to over 40 countries

to see jaguars and bears and elephants and tigers and rhinos. but every time i would returnfrom my trips i'd return back to new york city. and on my weekends i would go up,just like all the other tourists, to the top of the empire state building, and i'd look down on this landscape,on these ecosystems, and i'd wonder, "how does this landscape work to make habitatfor plants and animals? how does it work to make habitatfor animals like me?"

i'd go to times square and i'd lookat the amazing ladies on the wall, and wonder why nobody is lookingat the historical figures just behind them. i'd go to central park and seethe rolling topography of central park come up against the abrupt and sheer topography of midtown manhattan. i started reading about the historyand the geography in new york city. i read that new york citywas the first mega-city, a city of 10 million peopleor more, in 1950. i started seeing paintings like this.

for those of you who are from new york, this is 125th streetunder the west side highway. (laughter) it was once a beach.and this painting has john james audubon,the painter, sitting on the rock. and it's looking up on the wooded heightsof washington heights to jeffrey's hook, where the georgewashington bridge goes across today. or this painting, from the 1740s,from greenwich village. those are two students at king's college --later columbia university --

sitting on a hill, overlooking a valley. and so i'd go down to greenwichvillage and i'd look for this hill, and i couldn't find it.and i couldn't find that palm tree. what's that palm tree doing there? so, it was in the course of these investigationsthat i ran into a map. and it's this map you see here. it's held in a geographic information system which allows me to zoom in. this map isn't from hudson's time,but from the american revolution,

170 years later, made bybritish military cartographers during the occupation of new york city. and it's a remarkable map.it's in the national archives here in kew. and it's 10 feet long andthree and a half feet wide. and if i zoom in to lower manhattan you can see the extentof new york city as it was, right at the end of the american revolution. here's bowling green.and here's broadway. and this is city hall park.

so the city basically extendedto city hall park. and just beyond it you can see features that have vanished,things that have disappeared. this is the collect pond, which wasthe fresh water source for new york city for its first 200 years, and for the native americansfor thousands of years before that. you can see the lispenard meadows draining down through here,through what is tribeca now, and the beaches thatcome up from the battery,

all the way to 42nd st. this map was made for military reasons. they're mapping the roads,the buildings, these fortifications that they built. but they're also mappingthings of ecological interest, also military interest: the hills, the marshes, the streams. this is richmond hill,and minetta water, which used to run its waythrough greenwich village.

or the swamp at gramercy park, right here. or murray hill.and this is the murrays' house on murray hill, 200 years ago. here is times square, the two streams that cametogether to make a wetland in times square, as it wasat the end of the american revolution. so i saw this remarkable map in a book. and i thought to myself, "you know,if i could georeference this map, if i could place this mapin the grid of the city today,

i could find these lost features of the city, in the block-by-blockgeography that people know, the geography of where peoplego to work, and where they go to live, and where they like to eat." so, after some workwe were able to georeference it, which allows us to putthe modern streets on the city, and the buildings, and the open spaces, so that we can zoom into where the collect pond is.

we can digitize the collectpond and the streams, and see where they actually arein the geography of the city today. so this is funfor finding where things are relative to the old topography. but i had another idea about this map. if we take away the streets,and if we take away the buildings, and if we take away the open spaces, then we could take this map. if we pull off the 18th century features

we could drive it back in time. we could drive it backto its ecological fundamentals: to the hills, to the streams, to the basic hydrologyand shoreline, to the beaches, the basic aspects thatmake the ecological landscape. then, if we added mapslike the geology, the bedrock geology, and the surface geology,what the glaciers leave, if we make the soil map, with the 17 soil classes,

that are defined bythe national conservation service, if we make a digital elevation model of the topographythat tells us how high the hills were, then we can calculate the slopes. we can calculate the aspect. we can calculate thewinter wind exposure -- so, which way the winterwinds blow across the landscape. the white areas on this mapare the places protected from the winter winds. we compiled all the informationabout where the native americans were, the lenape.

and we built a probability mapof where they might have been. so, the red areason this map indicate the places that are best for humansustainability on manhattan, places that are close to water, places that are near the harbor to fish, places protected from the winter winds. we know that there was a lenape settlement down here by the collect pond. and we knew that theyplanted a kind of horticulture,

that they grew these beautiful gardensof corn, beans, and squash, the "three sisters" garden. so, we built a model that explainswhere those fields might have been. and the old fields, the successional fields that go. and we might think of these as abandoned. but, in fact, they're grassland habitats for grassland birds and plants. and they have becomesuccessional shrub lands, and these then mix into a map of all the ecological communities.

and it turns out that manhattanhad 55 different ecosystem types. you can think of these as neighborhoods, as distinctive as tribecaand the upper east side and inwood -- that these are the forest and the wetlands and the marine communities, the beaches. and 55 is a lot. on a per-area basis, manhattan had more ecological communities per acre than yosemite does, than yellowstone, than amboseli.

it was really an extraordinary landscape that was capable of supportingan extraordinary biodiversity. so, act ii: a home reconstructed. so, we studied the fish and the frogsand the birds and the bees, the 85 different kinds of fishthat were on manhattan, the heath hens, the speciesthat aren't there anymore, the beavers on all the streams,the black bears, and the native americans,to study how they used and thought about their landscape.

we wanted to try and map these.and to do that what we did was we mapped their habitat needs. where do they get their food? where do they get their water?where do they get their shelter? where do they get theirreproductive resources? to an ecologist, the intersectionof these is habitat, but to most people,the intersection of these is their home. so, we would read in field guides,the standard field guides that maybe you have on your shelves,

you know, what beavers need is,"a slowly meandering stream with aspen trees and alders and willows, near the water."that's the best thing for a beaver. so we just started making a list. here is the beaver.and here is the stream, and the aspen and the alderand the willow. as if these were the mapsthat we would need to predict where you would find the beaver. or the bog turtle, needing wet meadowsand insects and sunny places.

or the bobcat, needing rabbitsand beavers and den sites. and rapidly we started to realizethat beavers can be something that a bobcat needs. but a beaver also needs things.and that having it on either side means thatwe can link it together, that we can create the network of the habitat relationshipsfor these species. moreover, we realizedthat you can start out as being a beaver specialist,

but you can look up what an aspen needs. an aspen needs fire and dry soils. and you can look atwhat a wet meadow needs. and it need beaversto create the wetlands, and maybe some other things. but you can also talkabout sunny places. so, what does a sunny place need?not habitat per se. but what are the conditionsthat make it possible? or fire. or dry soils.

and that you can put theseon a grid that's 1,000 columns long across the top and 1,000 rowsdown the other way. and then we can visualizethis data like a network, like a social network. and this is the networkof all the habitat relationships of all the plants and animalson manhattan, and everything they needed, going back to the geology, going back to time and spaceat the very core of the web.

we call this the muir web.and if you zoom in on it it looks like this. each point is a different species or a different streamor a different soil type. and those little gray lines are the connectionsthat connect them together. they are the connectionsthat actually make nature resilient. and the structure of thisis what makes nature work, seen with all its parts. we call these muir websafter the scottish-american naturalist john muir, who said, "when we tryto pick out anything by itself,

we find that it's bound fastby a thousand invisible cords that cannot be broken,to everything in the universe." so then we took the muir websand we took them back to the maps. so if we wanted to go between 85th and 86th, and lex and third, maybe there was a stream in that block. and these would be the kind of treesthat might have been there, and the flowers and the lichensand the mosses, the butterflies, the fish in the stream,

the birds in the trees. maybe a timber rattlesnake lived there. and perhaps a black bear walked by.and maybe native americans were there. and then we took this data. you can see this for yourselfon our website. you can zoom intoany block on manhattan, and see what might havebeen there 400 years ago. and we used it to tryand reveal a landscape here in act iii.

we used the tools they use in hollywood to make these fantastic landscapesthat we all see in the movies. and we tried to use it to visualize third avenue. so we would take the landscapeand we would build up the topography. we'd lay on top of that the soils and the waters,and illuminate the landscape. we would lay on top of thatthe map of the ecological communities. and feed into that the map of the species. so that we would actually take a photograph, flying above times square,looking toward the hudson river,

waiting for hudson to come. using this technology, we can make these fantastic georeferenced views. we can basically take a pictureout of any window on manhattan and see what that landscapelooked like 400 years ago. this is the view from the east river,looking up murray hill at where the united nations is today. this is the view lookingdown the hudson river, with manhattan on the left,and new jersey out on the right,

looking out toward the atlantic ocean. this is the view over times square, with the beaver pond there,looking out toward the east. so we can see the collect pond,and lispenard marshes back behind. we can see the fieldsthat the native americans made. and we can see thisin the geography of the city today. so when you're watching "law and order,"and the lawyers walk up the steps they could have walkedback down those steps of the new york court house,right into the collect pond,

400 years ago. so these images are the workof my friend and colleague, mark boyer, who is herein the audience today. and i'd just like, if you wouldgive him a hand, to call out for his fine work. (applause) there is such power in bringingscience and visualization together, that we can create images like this, perhaps looking on eitherside of a looking glass.

and even though i've onlyhad a brief time to speak, i hope you appreciate thatmannahatta was a very special place. the place that you see hereon the left side was interconnected.it was based on this diversity. it had this resilience that iswhat we need in our modern world. but i wouldn't have you thinkthat i don't like the place on the right, which i quite do.i've come to love the city and its kind of diversity,and its resilience, and its dependence on densityand how we're connected together.

in fact, that i see themas reflections of each other, much as lewis carroll didin "through the looking glass." we can compare these two and hold themin our minds at the same time, that they really are the same place, that there is no way that citiescan escape from nature. and i think this is what we're learningabout building cities in the future. so if you'll allow me a brief epilogue,not about the past, but about 400 years from now, what we're realizing is that

cities are habitats for people, and need to supply what people need: a sense of home, food, water, shelter, reproductive resources,and a sense of meaning. this is the particular additionalhabitat requirement of humanity. and so many of the talks hereat ted are about meaning, about bringing meaning to our lives in all kinds of different ways, through technology, through art, through science,

so much so that i thinkwe focus so much on that side of our lives,that we haven't given enough attention to the food and the waterand the shelter, and what we need to raise the kids. so, how can we envisionthe city of the future? well, what if we goto madison square park, and we imagine it without all the cars, and bicycles instead and large forests, and streams insteadof sewers and storm drains?

what if we imagined the upper east side with green roofs, and streamswinding through the city, and windmills supplyingthe power we need? or if we imagine the new yorkcity metropolitan area, currently home to 12 million people, but 12 million people in the future,perhaps living at the density of manhattan, in only 36 percent of the area, with the areas in betweencovered by farmland, covered by wetlands,

covered by the marshes we need. this is the kind of future i think we need, is a future that has the same diversity and abundance and dynamism of manhattan, but that learns from thesustainability of the past, of the ecology, the original ecology,of nature with all its parts. thank you very much.

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